Understanding Silver Eagle Premiums

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The US Mint is one of the largest producers of coins and also happens to be one of the oldest continually operating minting operations in the world. However, this year a variety of production problems have struck the mint related to the production of bullion coins leading to tremendous volatility with Silver Eagle premiums in recent months.

Some investors have continued buying Silver Eagles, hoping that their dollar-cost average, along with rising commodities prices will offset the rising cost. Other investors are seeking out alternatives and buying bullion coins from other government mints.

Results from a recent third-party audit have shown that the Mint’s production techniques remain some of the most efficient because of regular and ongoing continuous improvements for the last 75 years.

Although newer processes exist for manufacturing large volumes of small parts (such as injection molding), the Mint’s ability to produce the quantity and quality of metal stampings are far more economically cost effective.

Silver Eagle Production Costs

The Mint does no longer operates refineries and provides limited assay services. Instead, the US Mint purchases raw materials for coins either in large rolls of sheets of metal strips or as ready-to-strike planchets from a select few approved suppliers such as Sunshine Minting, Coins’N’Things and other precious metals producers.

Prior to minting, the blanks are sent through a furnace in a process to soften the material, referred to as “annealing”. The blanks are then rinsed and cleaned before the “upsetting” step. The upsetting step raises the edges or rim of the blank to turn it into a planchet. The planchet is then ready to be struck into a coin.

In addition to wages, each of these steps in the production process cost the Mint resources, such as electricity, water, tools, dies and other materials. It is established by law that the Mint must charge a premium to cover the cost of production of each silver coin to prevent the program from operating at a loss.

The premium that the Mint charges at a wholesale level to the Authorized Purchasers includes the production costs reflect the amount of work the Mint does to produce, package and distribute each coin.

The West Point Mint is currently the only facility that produces Silver Eagle bullion coins.

Authorized Purchasers

Only companies that meet very stringent criteria are allowed to buy Silver Eagle coins wholesale directly from the mint. There are just ten companies in the US that are “Authorized Purchasers” of the US Mint. The criteria and process to become an AP is arduous and requires a significant amount of financial capital.

Some of the Authorized Purchasers are companies that are familiar to precious metals investors as they include wholesalers and one major online bullion dealer. Others include financial and banking institutions that provide an array of investment solutions.

CompanyHeadquartersAuthorized Metals
A-Mark Precious Metals Inc (AMRK)El Segundo, CASilver, Gold, Platinum & Palladium
American Precious Metals Exchange (APMEX) Oklahoma City, Oklahoma Silver, Gold Platinum & Palladium
Coins & Things, Inc. (CNT)Bridgewater, Mass.Silver, Gold Platinum & Palladium
Dillon Gage Inc. of DallasAddison, TexasSilver, Gold Platinum & Palladium
Fidelitrade, Inc.Wilmington, DelawareSilver, Gold Platinum & Palladium
Jack Hunt Coin Broker, Inc.Kenmore, New YorkSilver, Gold Platinum & Palladium
Manfra, Tordella, & Brookes, Inc. (MTB)New York, New YorkSilver, Gold Platinum & Palladium
ScotiaMocatta (Scotia Bank)New York, New YorkSilver, Gold Platinum & Palladium
StoneX BullionSanta Monica, CaliforniaSilver, Gold Platinum & Palladium
The Gold CenterSpringfield, IllinoisSilver only

Monthly Silver Eagle Sales Volume

The US Mint provides reports that show the monthly sales of bullion coins. The sales reports are effectively mintage reports since the Mint only manufactures coins based on pre-sales from Authorized Purchasers.

The largest mintage year for 1 oz Silver Eagle coins was 2015. That year, the Mint produced more than 47 million coins. This indicates that the West Point Mint is capable of producing nearly 4 million coins per month.

Yet, sales reports for the first few months of this year indicate that the mint has been producing only 900,000 coins per month, the equivalent to just 1,800 monster boxes. This is drastically lower than current demand and restricts the supply of current year coins.

Since restarting operations following pandemic shutdowns in 2020, the Mint has issued several press releases indicating difficulty sourcing suitable blank planchets from providers like Sunshine Minting, Coins’n’Things and other suppliers. This led to the cancellation of the 2022 Morgan Silver Dollar and Peace Silver Dollar commemorative issues from being produced. The fate of this and other coin programs remains unknown.

Coincidentally, the providers of blank planchets are owned by the same companies that are also Authorized Purchasers. This creates what is effectively closed-looped for the production and distribution of silver bullion coins, with the US Mint providing manufacturing services at a fixed cost. The control of the wholesale market is controlled by less than a dozen companies, with several of those companies also being primary suppliers of the raw materials and blank planchets.

As the future of the economy continues to be filled with uncertainty, many investors are driven to precious metals as a safe-haven.

Across the market, it is apparent that premiums on 1 oz silver coins from other sovereign mints have remained lower than Eagles throughout the recent financial crisis. Some investors perceive retail premiums on Silver Eagle coins to be artificially high.

There has been many posts on Reddit and other social media forums in recent months questioning the current Silver Eagle premiums. Some have speculated that suppliers may be intentionally restricting the supply of blanks as a mechanism to increase wholesale profits among the Authorized Purchasers.

Investors Losing Confidence in the US Mint, while Coin Minting Reports $171 Million Net Loss

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The US Mint operates with a lean business model that operates in a just-in-time manner, managing incoming blank planchets from designated materials suppliers based on sales demand from Authorized Purchasers as a gauge of investor demand.

Keeping up with investors demand has been a difficult task for the US Mint. The pandemic lockdowns caused a total shut down of mint operations, forced mine closures and caused other widespread disruptions throughout industrial supply chains.

Problems for the Mint only got worse as investor demand for bullion investment coins skyrocketed because of the pandemic. For a few months, the minting of Silver Eagle coins was secretly shifted to the Philadelphia Mint for the first time in history as backorders began to pile up.

The US Mint is required by law to mint Silver Eagle coins in quantities “sufficient to meet public demand.” However, data provided in recent mintage reports shows monthly sales of the coins are down significantly when compared to the same period in 2021.

The latest reports show that for January, monthly sales totals were 3,949,000 coins. Most of these coins were minted during the final months of 2022 when the mint announced it would start minting the coins early. The mint stockpiled the coins, waiting to ship them to bullion dealers until after the start of the year. Did they hedge the price of silver during that time?

Since then, the mint appears to be on track to shipping only 900,000 coins per month, consistently. Far less than the monthly sales volumes reported just a few years ago.

For 2021, the monthly sales figures for February, March and April of that year being: 3,191,500, 4,087,000 and 1,053,000 respectively.

So far, the Mint has provided no explanation for the current production shortages, leaving investors shopping for silver bullion coins looking at options from alternative government mints.

Both the Perth Mint and Royal Mint have announced reaching historical sales records in recent years. Silver bullion coins from both mints have significantly lower wholesale and retail premiums as those mints. Neither appear to be having issues keeping up with demand from investors or industry.

At the retail level, premiums have, at times, exceeded 90% over spot price per ounce. The wholesale premiums that dealers pay to Authorized Purchasers has reached historic highs as well, forcing retail dealers to offer record prices over spot on buy backs. Some long-term silver investors have been able to take advantage of the current price spread compared to retail premiums paid several years ago.

The Mint also pointed to production and supply chain issues in its decision to the postpone the production of the Morgan and Peace $1 silver coins that were highly anticipated by investors and collectors in 2022.

Investors have grown extremely frustrated with premiums on Silver Eagles and lost faith in the US Mint. Most have already started to buy silver coins from foreign governments that are able to provide a dependable and continuous supply of investment grade precious metals.

Rising base metal prices are reportedly to blame for the effecting traditional minting of circulated coinage. The cost to produce pennies and nickels continues to increase with tremendous uncertainty in global metals markets.

With the cost for minting each penny being roughly 2.5 cents, and nickels topping 7.42 cents, total losses on these coins have been steep, with pennies taking a net loss of $92.7 million to produce, and nickels losing a total of $78 million, totaling $171 million in gross loss.

Silver Institute Report Shows Strong Demand Across All Supply Chains

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In 2022, the demand for silver reached an all time high, with more than 1.242 billion ounces, according to a recent survey conducted by the Silver Institute. While registered mining output for the year totals only 835,900,000 1 billion ounces, leaving a deficit of at least 406 million ounces removed from custodial vaults, such as COMEX for the year.

While investor demand for silver bullion continues to rise at a steady pace, total global demand for the shiny metal rose more than 38% as the globally economy begins to recover from the pandemic.

The US Mint continues to struggle during periods of high demand due to ongoing supply chain issues plaguing domestic planchet suppliers.

Premiums on current year American Silver Eagles continue to skyrocket, ranging from as low 57% to as high as 82% over melt value.

Coins from other sovereign government mints continue to sell in large numbers, with 1 oz silver Noah’s Ark coins from Armenia having low premiums alongside silver Philharmonic coins from Austria and King Charles Britannias.

Investor demand continues to drive up prices for physical silver bullion. Supply chain disruptions at the start of the pandemic led to depletions of wholesale and retail bullion inventories resulting in the prices of physical bullion become far removed from following the paper price.

Overall, the bullion market for investors is likely to see further divergence between the price of physical metal and the paper futures price if the supply chain issues persist.

For now, the absolute lowest prices for 1 oz silver rounds can often be found in random year and secondary market listings. Random 10 oz silver bars continue to be the best value and be an investor favorite for those looking to stack with bulk purchases.

Premiums on gold coins and bars offer the lowest premiums for precious metals buyers. Poured gold kilos can be found with premiums below 1%. A few online retailers are offering low premium vintage gold coins such as the Austria 4 Ducat restrikes and 20 francs gold coins being popular amongst fractional gold stackers.

What determines Silver Eagle prices?

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2018 American 1 oz Silver Eagle

Silver eagle prices are consistently higher per ounce than generic rounds. Investors that are new to buying silver and other precious metals are often confused by the prices of what seem to be the same or similar items. At the end of the day both are still 1 troy ounce of silver.

Some of this confusion is due to the lack of transparency from dealers who rely on customers paying high premiums over spot price to pad their profit margins.

After all, isn’t 1 troy ounce of silver bullion the same no matter who makes it? Whether it is a generic bullion round from a private mint like the Sunshine Mint, or a 1 oz American Silver Eagle coin.

So why are silver eagle prices higher?

The US Mint is responsible for the minting and manufacturing of American Silver Eagle coins. There is a cost to to manufacture and distribute Silver Eagles.

To recover the manufacturing and distribution costs the US Mint charges wholesale distributors, referred to as “Authorized Purchasers”, a $2.00 premium on every newly minted Silver Eagle. The added premium by the Mint is passed along by the dealers to the end buyer or investor as part of the cost.

Dealer prices for Silver Eagles

Online bullion dealer prices for current year Silver Eagle coins are most often priced relative to the “Ask” spot price, plus the premium cost that the dealer has incurred from the wholesaler and the US Mint.

The price per American Silver Eagle coin will typically range from $2.50 to $3.50 over spot price per one ounce coin. With current spot price floating around $15.40 per troy ounce, this premium range is 16%-22% over spot per ounce.

You can save money on dealer premiums if you buy Random Year American Silver Eagle coins. Random Year Silver Eagles are often secondary market coins that dealers have bought back in tubes from investors in BU condition. Since dealers will buy back Silver Eagles at a lower premium than is charged by the US Mint, the lower premium is passed along to investors.

How much over spot should i pay for silver eagles?

American Silver Eagle coins always carry a premium over spot price.

Current year Silver Eagles will typically carry the highest premium from online dealers and local coin shops. This is because of the premium that the US Mint charges to Authorized Purchasers (Wholesale Distributors). The premium charged by the US Mint ultimately gets passed along to the investors and silver stackers.

American Silver Eagle coins from recent previous years will typically have a slightly lower premium than current year coins depending on dealer inventory.

Older American Silver Eagle coins that are in uncirculated condition often carry a premium as they are often considered semi-numismatic because they are dated. However, aside from specific years where the mintage of Silver Eagle coins was limited such as 1996, back-dated coins have little to no numismatic value. They are simply date silver bullion coins.

Silver Eagles that are in circulated, tarnished or cull condition will have the lowest premiums. These coins may show some signs of wear and tear from handling such as scratches, dings or surface marks. They may also show signs of tarnish from being exposed to air, have smudges or may have been painted with enamel or acrylic paint. Even Cull Condition or tarnished Silver Eagles will maintain their value relative to spot price, often carry a premium above spot price on the secondary market.