Brazil & China to Start Trading in Renminbi, Japan Buys Russian Oil Above Price Caps

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The dollar is quickly losing ground in the global south as BRICS countries initiate trade deals in local currencies.

China and Brazil announced this week a new trade deal that will be settled in their own currencies. The news comes amid reports that the Chinese RMB has surpassed the Euro to become the currency with the second largest reserves held by Brazil.

Yet, the dollar still represents more than 80% of the countries foreign reserves.

The central bank report also shows that the value of Brazil’s international reserves lost over $37.5 billion in 2021 and 2022, due in large part to lower returns amid the US Federal Reserve’s rate hikes and dollar manipulation.

China has been Brazil’s largest trading partner, overtaking the United States in 2009. China has pledged to continue making significant investments in the largest economy in South America, with major spending across energy, mining, agriculture and information-and-communication technology.

As of February 2023, the Central Bank of Brazil reported gold holdings worth $7.602 billion, down slightly from $8.103 billion in March of 2022. It’s probable that some of the gold that China has been stockpiling was exchanged for yuan.

China continues pushing trade in the southern hemisphere moving bilateral trade agreements away from the dollar as part of the overall “One Belt One Road” initiative.

The Bank of International Settlements (BIS), the driving force pushing for global CBDC adoption and the organization that controls the SWIFT banking network lists gold bullion as a Tier 1 asset alongside United States Treasury Bills.

Rio-based Banco BOCOM BBM, a subsidiary of China’s fifth largest bank will be connected to the Cross-border Interbank Payment System (CIPS), bypassing the SWIFT network to support trade settlements directly in renminbi.

BRICS countries have been buying gold and stocking up their reserves in anticipation for more than a decade establishing stronger trade ties among the emerging economies. Over the last decade, Russia alone has quintupled their central bank gold holdings affirming its strong leadership role with the emerging Moscow World Standard for clearing commodities outside of Western manipulated markets.

Central Banks will continue to buy gold in large amounts to provide scaffolding for larger bilateral trade deals in local currency in preparation for the announcement of a BRICS basket currency that is expected to come during the BRICS Summit in South Africa in August of this year.

The price of gold has been trending higher this year as mainstream and retail investors continue to hedge riskier portfolio holdings due to tremendous uncertainty in the dollar’s global dominance.

Silver Mining Dominated by Mexico, China and Peru in 2022

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Preliminary data from the US Geological Survey (USGS), global silver mine output increased by 4% last year.

Total mine output globally was roughly 26,000 tons in 2022, slight more than the 25,000 tons produced the previous year.

Most of the increase was due in part to the growth of mine output in Mexico, China and Chile.

Chile is an emerging leader in mining of both precious metals and critical minerals for industry and manufacturing. The country is one of the largest producers of copper, and silver is mined as a byproduct.

Top 11 Silver Producing Countries

  1. Mexico – 6,300 tons
  2. China – 3,600 tons
  3. Peru – 3,100 tons
  4. Chile – 1,600 tons
  5. Australia – 1,400 tons
  6. Poland – 1,300 tons
  7. Bolivia – 1,300 tons
  8. Russia – 1,200 tons
  9. USA – 1,100 tons
  10. Argentina – 840 tons
  11. India – 630 tons

The USGS is anticipating an increase in global silver production for 2023 as the industry continues recovering from the pandemic.

Demand is being driven the ramp-up of advanced manufacturing of components for electric vehicles, solar panels and other electronic devices that utilize silver (Ag).

The global supply chain for raw minerals and precious metals is continuing to recover from the pandemic.

Americans continue to consume more silver worldwide than any other country. Critical metals, such as silver and lithium are necessary for the production of EV cars, batteries, solar panels and other components of the green-energy economy.